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IAS IPS Daily Current Affairs Analysis

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Headline: Trump Declares End to Truce but Says He Will Let Talks Go On

Preliminary Facts (For Mains Answer Introduction)

Truce Declared Over: U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday declared that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran is “over,” while leaving the door open for negotiators to continue talking .

Escalating Strikes: The U.S. launched fresh strikes against Iran in response to Iranian attacks on three commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, hitting more than 80 targets including IRGC small boats and air defence systems . Iran retaliated by targeting U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait, claiming to have struck 85 U.S. military assets .

Iranian Casualties: Iranian state television reported that eight military personnel were killed in the U.S. strikes on Iran’s southern coast .

MoU ‘Ineffective’: Iran declared that the June 17 Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed with the U.S. is now “ineffective” due to U.S. violations, including the revocation of the oil sanctions waiver .

Market Impact: The renewed conflict sent global oil prices soaring over 5% and triggered a sharp sell-off in Indian stock markets, with the Sensex and Nifty falling over 2%, and the rupee sliding 52 paise to 95.48 against the dollar .


Syllabus Mapping (Relevance)

GS Paper II: International Relations – Bilateral relations, West Asia conflict, Geopolitics of the region.

GS Paper II: International Relations – India’s foreign policy, Energy security, Strategic partnerships.

GS Paper III: Security – Maritime security, Strait of Hormuz, Regional stability.

GS Paper III: Economic Development – Oil prices, Energy security, Impact on Indian economy.

GS Paper I: Geography – Strategic waterways, Energy chokepoints.


Deep Dive: Core Issues & Analysis (For Mains Answer Body)

A. The Breakdown of the Truce

AspectDetails
Trump’s Statement“As far as I am concerned, it is over. It is just a waste of time dealing with them.” 
US PositionTrump left the door open for talks but expressed deep distrust: “They’re scum… they’re led by sick people. They’re vicious, violent people.” 
Iranian PositionIran declared the MoU “ineffective” due to U.S. violations, including the revocation of the oil sanctions waiver and strikes on Iranian territory .

B. The Escalation of Hostilities

TimelineEvent
June 17, 2026U.S. and Iran signed a 14-page MoU extending the ceasefire and initiating talks for a final settlement 
July 6, 2026Iran attacked three commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, including Saudi and Qatari tankers 
July 7, 2026U.S. launched “powerful” strikes against more than 80 Iranian targets, including IRGC small boats, air defence systems, and coastal radar sites 
July 8, 2026Iran retaliated by targeting U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait, claiming to have struck 85 U.S. assets 
July 8, 2026Trump declared the truce “over” and threatened further strikes 

C. The Strategic Stakes: Strait of Hormuz

AspectDetails
LocationStrategic waterway between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman; a chokepoint for global oil shipments 
Iranian ClaimTehran insists on controlling the waterway, threatening to charge fees for passage and hit vessels deviating from its authorised route 
U.S. PositionThe U.S. has declared the strait “open to unrestricted navigation” and struck Iranian forces to degrade their ability to attack shipping 
ImpactThe conflict has revived fears of supply disruptions, driving oil prices sharply higher 

D. Impact on India

AspectImpact
Oil PricesBrent crude futures spiked over 5% to $77-$80 per barrel, a two-week high 
Stock MarketsSensex fell 1,677 points (2.15%) to 76,503.60; Nifty fell 516.65 points (2.12%) to 23,882.05 — the sharpest single-day drop since March 
RupeeThe rupee tumbled 52 paise to settle at 95.48 against the dollar; intraday low touched 95.61 
India VIXThe volatility index surged 23-26%, the highest single-day jump since March 23 
Sectoral ImpactOil and gas, automobile, and paint stocks led the declines; HPCL fell over 4.5% 

Expert View: Nandish Shah, Deputy Vice President, HDFC Securities: “Elevated crude oil prices bear negatively on India, the world’s third-largest importer and consumer of oil, as they inflate the import bill, stoke inflationary pressures, and weigh on the trajectory of economic growth” .


Key Terms (For Prelims & Mains)

Strait of Hormuz: A strategic waterway between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman; a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments .

MoU (Memorandum of Understanding): The 14-page interim agreement signed between the U.S. and Iran on June 17, 2026, extending the ceasefire and initiating talks for a final settlement .

IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps): Iran’s elite military force; U.S. strikes targeted over 60 IRGC small boats .

CENTCOM: U.S. Central Command; launched the strikes against Iranian targets .

NATO Summit Ankara: The gathering of NATO leaders in Turkey where Trump made his remarks .

Brent Crude: Global benchmark for oil prices; surged after Trump’s declaration .

India VIX: India’s Volatility Index; measures market fear and uncertainty; surged 23% .


Mains Question Framing

GS Paper II (International Relations): “The breakdown of the U.S.-Iran truce and the renewed conflict in West Asia have significant implications for regional stability. Analyse the causes and consequences of this escalation.”

GS Paper III (Security): “The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies. Discuss the strategic significance of this waterway and the implications of the U.S.-Iran conflict for India’s energy security.”

GS Paper III (Economic Development): “Oil price volatility due to geopolitical tensions has significant economic consequences for India. Examine the impact of the U.S.-Iran conflict on India’s macroeconomic stability.”

GS Paper II (International Relations): “Evaluate the role of the United States in maintaining stability in West Asia. How does the breakdown of the U.S.-Iran truce affect India’s strategic interests in the region?”


Linkage to Broader Issues & Debates

Energy Security: India imports about 85% of its crude oil requirements; price spikes strain the import bill and current account deficit .

Geopolitical Risk: The conflict highlights the fragility of the U.S.-Iran truce and the risk of broader regional escalation .

Maritime Security: The Strait of Hormuz remains a flashpoint; attacks on commercial vessels threaten global trade routes .

Indian Economy: Rising crude prices and rupee depreciation add to inflation pressures and could impact GDP growth .

Strategic Alliances: India’s balancing act between the U.S., Iran, and Gulf partners is tested by the escalating conflict .


Conclusion & Way Forward

President Donald Trump’s declaration that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire is “over” marks a significant escalation in the West Asia conflict . The breakdown of the June 17 MoU, triggered by attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and subsequent U.S. strikes on Iranian targets, has revived fears of a full-scale conflict .

Iran’s retaliatory strikes on U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait and its claim of targeting 85 U.S. assets indicate a dangerous cycle of escalation . Trump’s threat of further strikes, combined with his expression of deep distrust toward Iran, suggests that negotiations—while not completely ruled out—face an uncertain future .

For India, the escalation is economically significant. As the world’s third-largest oil importer and consumer, India is highly vulnerable to oil price spikes. Brent crude’s surge to $77-$80 per barrel, coupled with the rupee’s slide to 95.48 against the dollar, has already triggered a sharp market sell-off . The volatility index (India VIX) surging 23% reflects heightened market anxiety .

The Way Forward:

  1. Monitor Oil Prices: Track Brent crude movements and their impact on inflation and import bills .
  2. Strategic Petroleum Reserves: Utilise India’s SPR to cushion against supply shocks.
  3. Diplomatic Engagement: India should use its ties with both the U.S. and Iran to advocate for de-escalation and dialogue .
  4. Diversify Energy Sources: Accelerate transition to alternative energy to reduce dependence on Middle East oil.
  5. Maritime Security: Enhance naval presence to protect India’s interests in the Indian Ocean region.
  6. Economic Stabilisation: Prepare for potential currency and market volatility through prudent fiscal and monetary measures.

The coming days will be crucial in determining whether this escalation leads to a full-scale war or a return to diplomacy. As the U.S. and Iran exchange fire and accusations, the broader implications for regional stability and global energy security remain deeply uncertain.

Headline: Quantum Computing Age Will Only Begin When We Silence the Noise

Preliminary Facts (For Mains Answer Introduction)

The Quantum Promise: Quantum computers are expected to herald a new era in simulating molecules, securing digital lives, optimising complex logistical networks, and modelling natural phenomena that overwhelm even our most powerful supercomputers .

India’s Investment: The Government of India sanctioned over ₹6,000 crore in April 2023 for the National Quantum Mission (NQM), which aims to build “intermediate-scale quantum computers” and make India a leading nation in quantum technologies by 2031 .

The Core Challenge: Contemporary quantum processors are prone to “noise and errors,” with error rates of 1% to 0.1% — meaning one out of every 100 to 1,000 quantum operations results in an error . In contrast, classical computers make errors at the rate of one out of every quintillion (10¹⁷) operations .

Error Correction Breakthrough: In a 2024 Nature paper, Google Quantum AI researchers demonstrated for the first time that error rates can be suppressed exponentially by scaling up a lattice of physical qubits, creating a logical qubit with a lifetime more than twice that of its best constituent physical qubit .

Realistic Timeline: Google expects the first useful quantum computing applications within the next five years, while IBM aims to debut a fully fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029 .


Syllabus Mapping (Relevance)

GS Paper III: Science & Technology – Quantum computing, Emerging technologies, National Quantum Mission.

GS Paper III: Achievements of Indians in Science & Technology – Research and development, Innovation ecosystem.

GS Paper III: Economic Development – Technology and economic growth, Industrial applications.

GS Paper II: Governance – Government policies for technology development, Strategic autonomy.

GS Paper I: Society – Technology and society, Digital divide.


Deep Dive: Core Issues & Analysis (For Mains Answer Body)

A. What is Quantum Computing?

AspectClassical ComputingQuantum Computing
Basic UnitBit (0 or 1)Qubit (0, 1, or superposition of both)
StateDeterministic (ON/OFF)Probabilistic; exists in multiple states simultaneously
Key PropertiesTransistors switching currentSuperposition and entanglement
ProcessingSequential/SerialMassively parallel
Error Rate~10⁻¹⁷ (one in a quintillion)10⁻² to 10⁻³ (1% to 0.1%)

Key Quantum Properties:

PropertyExplanation
SuperpositionA qubit can exist in multiple states simultaneously (0, 1, and everything in between), like a coin tossed in the air
EntanglementQubits can become inexorably linked; any action on one affects all others, regardless of physical distance
DecoherenceThe loss of quantum states due to environmental interaction; qubits are extremely sensitive and short-lived

B. Types of Qubits

TypeDescriptionExample
Superconducting QubitsMade using Josephson junctions (two superconductors separated by a thin barrier)Google’s Willow processor (2024)
Quantum Dot QubitsTiny particles of semiconductors like silicon, gallium arsenide, or germaniumResearch-stage
Trapped Ion QubitsIndividual ions trapped and manipulated by lasersResearch-stage
Photonic QubitsParticles of light (photons) manipulated for computationResearch-stage
NMR QubitsUses angular momentum of nuclei within moleculesUsed in first quantum computer (1998)

C. The Challenge: Noise and Errors

AspectDetails
Current Error Rate1% to 0.1% (one error per 100 to 1,000 operations)
Classical Error Rate~10⁻¹⁷ (one error per quintillion operations)
Source of ErrorsDecoherence (interaction with environment), imperfect control mechanisms (lasers, microwave pulses)
Operating TemperatureNear absolute zero (-273°C) to prevent decoherence
Term CoinedJohn Preskill: “Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum Computing” (NISQ)

Expert Insight: University of Copenhagen researcher Michael Kastoryano has suggested that error rates of quantum processors are unlikely to decrease beyond one out of 10,000,000 operations .

D. The Solution: Quantum Error Correction

TechniqueExplanation
Logical QubitSeveral physical qubits forced to work together as a single, more stable qubit
Threshold TheoremIf individual qubit error rates are below a certain threshold, adding more qubits exponentially reduces the error rate
Google’s Breakthrough (2024)Using a 3×3, 5×5, and 7×7 lattice of physical qubits, error rate was suppressed by a factor of two each time; logical qubit lifetime exceeded its physical components
Next TargetGoogle: “a long-lived logical, or error-corrected, qubit”

E. The National Quantum Mission (NQM)

AspectDetails
ApprovalApril 2023
BudgetOver ₹6,000 crore
TimelineBy 2031
ObjectiveBuild “intermediate-scale quantum computers”; make India a leading nation in quantum technologies
Vertical FocusQuantum Materials and Devices (led by IISc physicist Arindam Ghosh)

Key Terms (For Prelims & Mains)

Qubit (Quantum Bit): The fundamental unit of quantum computing; can exist in multiple states simultaneously (superposition) .

Superposition: The ability of a qubit to exist in multiple states at once (0, 1, or any state in between) .

Entanglement: A quantum phenomenon where qubits become linked such that the state of one affects others, regardless of distance .

Decoherence: The loss of quantum states due to interaction with the environment; a major cause of errors .

Josephson Junction: A device made of two superconductors separated by a thin barrier; used to create superconducting qubits .

Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum Computing (NISQ): Term coined by John Preskill to describe current quantum processors prone to errors .

Quantum Error Correction: Techniques that use multiple physical qubits to create a single, more stable logical qubit .

Logical Qubit: A stable qubit formed by encoding the information of several physical qubits to correct errors .

National Quantum Mission (NQM): India’s flagship programme to develop quantum technologies and applications .

Deutsch-Jozsa Problem: A mathematical problem used to demonstrate that quantum computers can solve certain problems faster than classical computers; solved on the first quantum computer in 1998 .


Mains Question Framing

GS Paper III (Science & Technology): “Quantum computing promises to revolutionise computation, but hardware limitations stand between promise and performance. Analyse the challenges and India’s efforts to overcome them through the National Quantum Mission.”

GS Paper III (Economic Development): “Discuss the potential applications of quantum computing in areas like climate modelling, materials science, and logistics. How can India leverage this technology for economic growth?”

GS Paper II (Governance): “Examine the role of government investment in emerging technologies like quantum computing. What lessons can be drawn from India’s approach to the National Quantum Mission?”

GS Paper III (Achievements of Indians): “India’s National Quantum Mission represents a significant step in indigenous technology development. Discuss its objectives, challenges, and strategic importance.”


Linkage to Broader Issues & Debates

Technology Race: Global competition in quantum computing between US (Google, IBM), China, Europe, and India.

Strategic Independence: India’s need to develop indigenous quantum capabilities for national security and technological sovereignty.

Funding vs. Outcomes: The challenge of translating investment into tangible results; need for realistic timelines.

Talent Development: Building a skilled workforce in quantum physics, engineering, and computer science.

Ethical Considerations: Quantum computing’s potential to break current encryption standards and implications for cybersecurity.

Industry-Academia Collaboration: The need for partnerships between research institutions and industry to commercialise quantum technologies .


Conclusion & Way Forward

Quantum computing represents one of the most ambitious technological pursuits of our time, with the potential to revolutionise fields ranging from climate modelling and drug discovery to cryptography and logistics . India’s National Quantum Mission, backed by over ₹6,000 crore, aims to position the country as a leading nation in quantum technologies by 2031 .

However, the gap between promise and performance remains significant. Contemporary quantum processors are plagued by noise and errors, with error rates of 1% to 0.1% — starkly contrasting with classical computers’ near-perfect reliability . The key challenge is to construct a perfect machine out of imperfect parts through quantum error correction .

Google’s 2024 breakthrough demonstrating exponential error suppression with its Willow processor represents a critical milestone . The next step is to create a long-lived logical qubit, leading to a fully fault-tolerant quantum computer. IBM aims to debut theirs by 2029, while Google expects practical applications within five years .

The Way Forward:

  1. Sustained Investment: Continue funding quantum research and infrastructure to maintain competitiveness .
  2. Error Correction Research: Prioritise error-correcting techniques to overcome hardware limitations .
  3. Talent Development: Build a skilled workforce through specialised education and training programmes .
  4. Industry Collaboration: Foster partnerships between academia and industry to accelerate commercialisation .
  5. International Cooperation: Engage with global quantum research initiatives while maintaining strategic autonomy .
  6. Application Focus: Identify and develop practical quantum applications in areas like climate modelling, materials science, and drug discovery .
  7. Cybersecurity Preparedness: Prepare for quantum computing’s impact on encryption and digital security .

As IISc physicist Arindam Ghosh noted, while quantum computers may take time to reach laptops, if at all, the technological revolution could begin well before that . The next decade will be crucial in determining whether quantum computing transitions from the laboratory to practical, world-changing applications .

Headline: Over 42% Rise in Female Enrolment in Higher Education Since 2014: Report

Preliminary Facts (For Mains Answer Introduction)

Total Enrolment Growth: India’s higher education sector recorded total student enrolment of 4.5 crore in the 2023-24 academic year, marking a 31.5% rise from 3.42 crore recorded in 2014-15 .

Female Enrolment Surge: The enrolment of female students in higher educational institutions rose from 1.57 crore in 2014-15 to 2.24 crore in 2023-24, marking a 42.2% increase since 2014-15 .

Gender Parity Index (GPI): The GPI stands at 1.08 for 2023-24, remaining consistently above 1.0 for seven consecutive years, indicating that female participation systematically outpaces male participation .

Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER): India’s GER (for the 18-23 age bracket) reached 30 in 2023-24. Notably, the female GER scaled to 31.2, distinctly higher than the national baseline .

STEM Enrolment: Enrolment in STEM fields climbed to 1.02 crore in 2023-24. The female share in STEM programmes climbed steadily to 44%, up from 38.4% a decade ago .

Social Category Progress: SC enrolment jumped 51.4% since 2014-15 (reaching 69.72 lakh); ST enrolment rose 75.7% (reaching 28.83 lakh); OBC enrolment grew 60.2% (from 1.13 crore to 1.80 crore) .


Syllabus Mapping (Relevance)

GS Paper II: Social Justice – Education, Higher education, Gender equality, Social inclusion.

GS Paper I: Society – Women empowerment, Social mobility, Caste and education.

GS Paper II: Governance – Government policies and interventions, Scheme implementation.

GS Paper III: Economic Development – Human capital, Skill development, STEM workforce.

GS Paper I: Indian Society – Demographic dividend, Social stratification.


Deep Dive: Core Issues & Analysis (For Mains Answer Body)

A. Overall Enrolment Trends (2014-15 to 2023-24)

Indicator2014-152023-24Growth
Total Enrolment3.42 crore4.5 crore↑ 31.5%
Female Enrolment1.57 crore2.24 crore↑ 42.2%
Male Enrolment1.85 crore2.26 crore↑ 22.2%
Gender Parity Index1.08Consistently above 1.0 for 7 years

Source: AISHE 2022-23 and 2023-24 reports .

B. Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) Trends

CategoryGER 2023-24Comparison
Overall GER30Up from baseline
Female GER31.2Higher than national baseline
Male GER28.9Lower than female GER
SC GER27.8Up from 18.9 in 2014-15
ST GER22.8Up from 13.5 in 2014-15

Context: GER is calculated for the 18-23 age bracket .

C. Social Category Enrolment Growth

Category2014-152023-24Growth
Scheduled Castes (SC)69.72 lakh↑ 51.4%
Scheduled Tribes (ST)28.83 lakh↑ 75.7%
Other Backward Classes (OBC)1.13 crore1.80 crore↑ 60.2%

Key Observation: The highest growth in enrolment was recorded among Scheduled Tribes (75.7%), followed by Other Backward Classes (60.2%) and Scheduled Castes (51.4%). This indicates significant progress in inclusive access to higher education for historically marginalised communities.

D. STEM Enrolment

Indicator2014-152023-24Change
Total STEM Enrolment1.02 croreSignificant growth
Female Share in STEM38.4%44%↑ 5.6 percentage points

Context: “Mirroring the overall demographic shift, the female share in STEM programmes climbed steadily to 44%, up from 38.4% a decade ago” .

E. AISHE Methodology and Data Coverage

AspectDetails
Survey NameAll India Survey on Higher Education (AISHE)
Period Covered2022-23 and 2023-24
Data CollectionSelf-reported voluntarily by registered institutions via web-based portal
Institutions Covered59,533 higher education institutions
Institutional Participation RateOver 90%
Data VerificationMinistry executes built-in validations and scrutiny checks; primary data quality remains the responsibility of respective institutions

Key Terms (For Prelims & Mains)

AISHE: All India Survey on Higher Education – an annual survey conducted by the Ministry of Education to collect data on higher education institutions, enrolment, faculty, and infrastructure .

Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER): The percentage of students enrolled in a specific level of education relative to the total population of the official age group for that level (18-23 years for higher education) .

Gender Parity Index (GPI): A ratio of female to male enrolment; a GPI of 1.0 indicates parity, while above 1.0 indicates higher female participation .

STEM: Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics – academic disciplines crucial for technological and economic development .

Higher Education Institutions (HEIs): Colleges, universities, and other institutions offering education beyond the secondary level .

Socially Disadvantaged Groups (SDGs): Categories including Scheduled Castes (SCs), Scheduled Tribes (STs), and Other Backward Classes (OBCs) for whom reservation policies exist .

Participation Rate: The percentage of eligible institutions that have submitted data to AISHE; stood at over 90% .


Mains Question Framing

GS Paper II (Social Justice): “The AISHE report 2023-24 shows significant growth in female enrolment and social category participation in higher education. Analyse the factors driving these trends and the challenges that remain.”

GS Paper I (Society): “Discuss the social implications of the rising female enrolment in higher education, particularly in STEM fields, as revealed by the AISHE report.”

GS Paper II (Governance): “Examine the role of government policies and schemes in promoting inclusive access to higher education in India, with reference to the latest AISHE data.”

GS Paper III (Economic Development): “How does the growth in higher education enrolment, particularly in STEM, contribute to India’s demographic dividend and economic development?”

GS Paper I (Indian Society): “The AISHE data reflects progress in social inclusion through increased enrolment of SC, ST, and OBC students. Critically analyse the implications for social mobility.”


Linkage to Broader Issues & Debates

Gender Equality: Rising female enrolment and GPI above 1.0 indicate progress toward gender parity in higher education .

Social Inclusion: Significant growth in SC/ST/OBC enrolment reflects the impact of reservation policies and affirmative action .

STEM Education: India’s growing STEM workforce; increasing female participation is crucial for innovation and economic growth .

Quality vs. Access: While enrolment has grown, questions remain about learning outcomes, employability, and quality of education .

NEP 2020 Alignment: The data reflects progress toward the National Education Policy 2020’s goals of achieving 50% GER by 2035 .

Regional Disparities: While national data is positive, regional variations in access and quality remain a concern .

Demographic Dividend: India’s young population must be equipped with higher education and skills to capitalise on demographic advantage .


Conclusion & Way Forward

The AISHE 2023-24 report presents a robust picture of India’s higher education sector, with total enrolment reaching 4.5 crore — a 31.5% increase from 2014-15 . The most notable achievement is the 42.2% rise in female enrolment, with female students now numbering 2.24 crore, and the Gender Parity Index remaining above 1.0 for seven consecutive years . The GER reaching 30, with female GER at 31.2, underscores India’s progress toward universal access to higher education.

The growth in STEM enrolment to 1.02 crore, with the female share climbing to 44% , reflects a positive shift toward gender balance in traditionally male-dominated fields. The substantial growth in enrolment of SC (51.4%), ST (75.7%), and OBC (60.2%) students since 2014-15 indicates that government policies and affirmative action are yielding results in expanding access for historically marginalised communities .

The Way Forward:

  1. Improve GER: Work toward NEP 2020’s target of 50% GER by 2035 through expanded access and retention .
  2. Bridge Quality Gap: Focus on improving learning outcomes, research output, and employability alongside access .
  3. STEM for All: Continue to promote STEM education, particularly among women and marginalised communities .
  4. Regional Equity: Address regional disparities in access and quality of higher education .
  5. Strengthen Vocational Education: Integrate vocational training with higher education for enhanced employability .
  6. Research and Innovation: Boost research infrastructure and funding to foster innovation .
  7. Teacher Training: Invest in faculty development and quality improvement .

The AISHE data underscores India’s progress in expanding access to higher education, particularly for women and marginalised communities. The challenge now is to translate this increased access into improved quality, employability, and innovation, ensuring that India’s demographic dividend is fully realised .

 

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